來拉 我來貼一篇華爾街正妹經濟學 看有沒有人比較閑的 讓你從台股直升道瓊

found under nyc craig's list "casual encounter"....

What am I doing wrong?

Okay, I'm tired of beating around the bush. I'm a beautiful
(spectacularly beautiful) 25 year old girl. I'm articulate and classy.
I'm not from New York. I'm looking to get married to a guy who makes at
least half a million a year. I know how that sounds, but keep in mind
that a million a year is middle class in New York City, so I don't think
I'm overreaching at all.

Are there any guys who make 500K or more on this board? Any wives? Could
you send me some tips? I dated a business man who makes average around
200 - 250. But that's where I seem to hit a roadblock. 250,000 won't get
me to central park west. I know a woman in my yoga class who was married
to an investment banker and lives in Tribeca, and she's not as pretty as
I am, nor is she a great genius. So what is she doing right? How do I
get to her level?

Here are my questions specifically:

- Where do you single rich men hang out? Give me specifics- bars,
restaurants, gyms

-What are you looking for in a mate? Be honest guys, you won't hurt my
feelings

-Is there an age range I should be targeting (I'm 25)?

- Why are some of the women living lavish lifestyles on the upper east
side so plain? I've seen really 'plain jane' boring types who have
nothing to offer married to incredibly wealthy guys. I've seen drop dead
gorgeous girls in singles bars in the east village. What's the story
there?

- Jobs I should look out for? Everyone knows - lawyer, investment
banker, doctor. How much do those guys really make? And where do they
hang out? Where do the hedge fund guys hang out?

- How you decide marriage vs. just a girlfriend? I am looking for
MARRIAGE ONLY

Please hold your insults - I'm putting myself out there in an honest
way. Most beautiful women are superficial; at least I'm being up front
about it. I wouldn't be searching for these kind of guys if I wasn't
able to match them - in looks, culture, sophistication, and keeping a
nice home and hearth.

it's NOT ok to contact this poster with services or other commercial
interests
PostingID: 432279810



------------------------------

THE ANSWER
Dear Pers-431649184:

I read your posting with great interest and have thought meaningfully
about your dilemma. I offer the following analysis of your predicament.
Firstly, I'm not wasting your time, I qualify as a guy who fits your
bill; that is I make more than $500K per year. That said here's how I
see it.

Your offer, from the prospective of a guy like me, is plain and simple a
crappy business deal. Here's why. Cutting through all the B.S., what you
suggest is a simple trade: you bring your looks to the party and I bring
my money. Fine, simple. But here's the rub, your looks will fade and my
money will likely continue into perpetuity...in fact, it is very likely
that my income increases but it is an absolute certainty that you won't
be getting any more beautiful!

So, in economic terms you are a depreciating asset and I am an earning
asset. Not only are you a depreciating asset, your depreciation
accelerates! Let me explain, you're 25 now and will likely stay pretty
hot for the next 5 years, but less so each year. Then the fade begins in
earnest. By 35 stick a fork in you!

So in Wall Street terms, we would call you a trading position, not a buy
and hold...hence the rub...marriage. It doesn't make good business sense
to "buy you" (which is what you're asking) so I'd rather lease. In case
you think I'm being cruel, I would say the following. If my money were
to go away, so would you, so when your beauty fades I need an out. It's
as simple as that. So a deal that makes sense is dating, not marriage.

Separately, I was taught early in my career about efficient markets. So,
I wonder why a girl as "articulate, classy and spectacularly beautiful"
as you has been unable to find your sugar daddy. I find it hard to
believe that if you are as gorgeous as you say you are that the $500K
hasn't found you, if not only for a tryout.

By the way, you could always find a way to make your own money and then
we wouldn't need to have this difficult conversation.

With all that said, I must say you're going about it the right way.
Classic "pump and dump."
I hope this is helpful, and if you want to enter into some sort of
lease, let me know.

......我看還是直接去把妹好了......

Nash理論是個體經濟學中最重要的一環之一
和廠商理論.消費者理論並駕齊驅
Nash理論可以超乎他們的最重要因素是他可以擴大到任何的社會科學
他的價值在於人性的考量以及符合邏輯現實的分析
何來只是紙上談兵之論?

理論歸理論
大四的老師曾給我們一個建議
"不要相信理論所算出來的數值 要接近真實情況 請做落點分析"

樓主轉貼的賽局分析作者應該是沒修好，
賽局理論源於理性抉擇學派，是非常量化的東西，
NASH均衡是"算"出來的，
作者完全不設定兩方利益，怎麼"算"出來有無NASH均衡點，
更何況最大利益還要設定公式用微積分來算，
作者似乎只學到皮毛，
只列出囚徒困境，
但是囚徒困境是在兩方資訊無法互動的情形下產生的，
宅男與正妹的矩陣是不是適用有其問題。
其次，賽局理論中還有連續賽局，
當兩方一直找不到均衡點時，雙方的利益設定就會開始變化，
可能會在多次賽局之後出現均衡點，
這在商業談判是非常重要的觀念。
再來，賽局也不限定只有兩方，
比較合理的設定應該要成宅男、帥哥、恐龍妹與正妹的四方賽局，
因為這四方會有互動。
其實賽局理論要學好，關鍵是數學，
因為許多相關文章整篇都是算式~

這個 [美國好人] 講話還真直接了當, 一點都不拖泥帶水. 想必不是頭腦超級清醒, 不然就是上過很多課/付過很多學費.

[美國正妹] 應該回答 -- [Pal, wake up! I had great body; therefore, my decade routein maintance only needs minor paint job to restore my beauty! Not the expensive major overhaul, which you implied, to convert a rhino/elephant into a trophy wife.]

紐約市中產階級要有50萬美元年薪的等級啊...

可是他說的是實話啊~~
哈哈~~

學好賽局理論應用到賭博炒股炒期貨會大賺錢..
賺了粉多錢當然就能把正妹了...

這麼簡單的原理都不懂...