PCDVD數位科技討論區 - [特輯] 2012

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預測今年是馬刺奪冠 :like:

NBA／火箭捕魔獸霍華德　林書豪、艾西克成交易籌碼？
http://www.ettoday.net/news/20130525/212601.htm

引用:

「魔獸人生」續集持續加演，先前霍華德(Dwight Howard)與湖人高層懇談後，傳出他只剩2條路可選，一是續留湖人，二則是轉戰火箭，而火箭所能拿出的交易籌碼，可能會是「豪小子」林書豪和「籃板吸塵器」艾西克(Omer Asik)。

在霍華德尚未到湖人之前，「魔獸人生」就已經上演了好一陣子，甚至傳出他可能和林書豪並肩作戰的消息，賽季結束後「魔獸人生」再度上檔，不僅湖人希望續留他，各隊都伸出魔爪網羅，其中包括老鷹、勇士、小牛和火箭。

先前霍華德與湖人高層懇談後，傳出他只剩下2條路可選，第一就是續留湖人，第二則是轉而效力火箭，但問題在於火箭可以拿出怎樣的籌碼進行交易？據記者戴凡尼(Sean Deveany)透露，火箭可能拿出本賽季全勤的林書豪，以及繳出平均「雙十」成績單的艾西克。

一名湖人球隊經理表示，「不確定我們能不能達成一紙長期合約，也不能把所有賭注都壓在霍華德身上，如果他想要離開，任誰都攔不住，但我們也不可能放走他，而不求任何回報吧。」

美國媒體《isportstimes.com》指出，湖人要能與霍華德達成一紙長期合約，可能需要空出更多薪資空間，且湖人本季在控衛上出現漏洞，只要奈許(Steve Nash)受傷，布雷克(Steve Blake)也難扛起先發重任，球隊頓時失去指揮官，因此可能會考慮交易來24歲的林書豪，可以彌補已經瀕臨退休的奈許，為球隊注入年輕血液。

如果這筆交易能成真 ... 倒是蠻令人期待!! :laugh:

引用:

作者strong

NBA／火箭捕魔獸霍華德　林書豪、艾西克成交易籌碼？
http://www.ettoday.net/news/20130525/212601.htm

如果這筆交易能成真 ... 倒是蠻令人期待!! :laugh:

如果林書豪能去讓奈許調教一下，搞不好能更上層樓~
但是不知道抵不抵的住大城市的球迷壓力。

《isportstimes.com》原文:
Lakers Trade And Free Agent Rumors 2013: Jeremy Lin For Dwight Howard In A Sign And Trade With Rockets On The Table? Lakers Looking To Add LeBron In 2014?
http://www.isportstimes.com/article...2013-jeremy.htm

引用:

Perhaps the two most talked about players of the past two years have been Dwight Howard and Jeremy Lin. According to a report in The Sporting News, the two high-profile players might be swapped in the offseason.

Reporter Sean Deveany wrote that league sources suggested the Los Angeles Lakers may have no choice but to do a sign-and-trade with Howard to the Houston Rockets, and that Lin and Omer Asik would be part of a deal to L.A.

"I don't know if the Lakers can afford to be thinking long-term," one general manager told SN. "They sort of put all their eggs in this one basket, with Dwight, and if he wants to go, can you let him go for nothing in return? I don't think so. You'll be sending a bad message to Kobe Bryant, to (Steve) Nash, to the fans. They are selling championships there. You can't say, 'Trust us, we will have cap space later and maybe we'll sign someone then.'"

While the consensus is that Howard has more trade value than Lin, the Lakers would be able to free up salary cap space with the deal. Howard has consistently been on the fence with signing a maximum deal with his current team in recent seasons with the Orlando Magic and the Lakers, and presumably would see the benefit in playing with young star James Harden.

Texas also does not have state income tax, making Howard's expected maximum deal to be worth more than in California. There has been speculation in recent weeks that Howard was interested in playing for either the Rockets, Dallas Mavericks, or Atlanta Hawks. His lone season in L.A. was marked by supposed clashes with Kobe Bryant and head coach Mike D'Antoni.

Bryant injured his ACL late in the season, and is still months away from activity. The Lakers have never made rebuilding plans with Bryant on the roster, but may decide to avoid major signings this offseason until he is 100 percent healthy. Bryant is a free agent at the end of next season, and may decide to retire.

The Lakers may consider Howard's absence a blessing. He has only reached the NBA Finals once since being drafted in 2004 by the Magic, and has had injury problems in recent months. By not paying Howard, the Lakers could free up the cap space to make a big splash in the summer of 2014 when LeBron James is a free agent.

By adding Lin, the Lakers would have a young and suitable backup to Steve Nash, who is likely to retire when his contract expires at the end of the 2014-2015 season. Lin struggled in the postseason, averaging just four points per game off 29.4 percent shooting, but enjoyed a solid regular season. The 24-year-old averaged 13.4 points per game, and 6.1 assists.

Lin is also signed for just two more seasons. He could be a valuable asset for a team that needs an infusion of youth, and a spark off the bench. Asik proved to be a more than serviceable center, averaging 10.7 points per game, and 11.4 rebounds.

Most importantly, the Lakers would be able to make a more serious run at a title in the 2014-2015 season with their great deal of cap space. Houston would almost certainly have to offer the Lakers draft picks, which L.A. could use to add youth. The Rockets could also surrender some other low-cost players on the roster, while perhaps taking on point guard Steve Blake's contract.

This potential deal may still seem to be a stretch. Lakers' executive Jim Buss has previously stated that he expects Howard to re-sign with the team. The Lakers also have a rich history of centers, and Howard is expected to be better next season after extra time to heal from back and shoulder problems.

看來魔獸人生第二集，將由湖人與火箭領銜主演!! :laugh:

引用:

作者艾德 II

如果林書豪能去讓奈許調教一下，搞不好能更上層樓~
但是不知道抵不抵的住大城市的球迷壓力。

我覺得有了去年的 Linsanity紐約經驗，

到湖人應該更能駕輕就熟!! :D

引用:

作者Crazynut

這是我個人的看法啦，SF跟G的外線跳投跟切入的的命中率，如果能有四成以上就算很好的了。所以他們每抓到一個進攻板都是賺到的。

但對主打內線的禁區球員而言，這樣命中率是糟糕的。自投自抓反而沒有效率。我覺得內線球員的命中率，至少要接近五成。

我仔細講一下，我為什麼想看球權得分統計好了。

先講你討論的進攻籃板。

當搶到進攻籃板之後，其實不見得會得分，也有可能在連搶幾次進攻籃板之後，球出界或最後被對方搶走防守籃板。

這樣這一次球權的得分就是"0"

一次球權，以目前的籃球規則，得分可能為0~4分。

4分的情況，就是在三分線外出手進算加罰進。

3分的情況，除了三分球外，也有兩分進算加罰進。

2分的情況，除了兩分球外，也有兩罰都進的狀況。

1分的狀況，好像只有罰球進一球這種狀況。

0分的狀況很多不詳述了...

這樣統計下來，就會發現4成的三分球命中率，跟6成的兩分球命中率，平均每次球權都是1.2分。

但這是沒考慮搶下進攻籃板後再投進的狀態，以三分球來說大多是長籃板，搶到進攻籃板的機會比較要靠運氣。

但如果是禁區的兩分球，搶到進攻籃板後再放進的機會大增，這時平均球權的得分就會增加。

另外，有的球隊球風比較快，一場比賽有比較多次的球權，所以總分看起來比較高。

但不要忘記，球權基本上是對等的，所以跟球風快的球隊打球，對手的總分也會變高，這使得總分統計變得無意義。

所以我才會希望有機構統計平均球權得分這種數據。

ptt偶而會貼今日戰績，附帶「歷史上的今天」，偶而看到暴龍時期的Bosh，籃板真是駭人的高啊。

現今Bosh的生涯數據：8.9RPG，本季6.8，上季(11-12)7.9，再前一季(10-11)8.3，暴龍末年(09-10)是生涯巔峰的10.8。很明顯是逐年下降中……

我個人感覺，這應該不單純是年歲的關係吧，也不像是傷病的困擾。猜測會不會是不同陣型的戰術要求呢？

若然，那麼常常見的到的熱火籃板輸人景象，也許就是戰術上的取捨了吧。當然有失有得，至於"得"在何處，每個人解讀不同我個人的看法也不一定對。

"輪轉防守"這部份我實在外行，很難評斷它的優劣。

鳥人這季實在打的不錯，奇妙的是同樣的戰術體系下，我沒搞錯的話他應該是Bosh的替補，有限的上場時間內他的抓板效率優於前者。前幾場命中率更是驚人，新聞難免有溢美之辭，本來打的不錯就值得稱讚這部份看看就好，也不必太當真。

看球看的比較多了，最近比較傾向於"高效率"才是好事，對於大個子在籃下又起又上自投自抓的威猛景象，已經不像以往那麼的讚歎了……

引用:

作者strong

我覺得有了去年的 Linsanity紐約經驗，

到湖人應該更能駕輕就熟!! :D

這個交易不會成行....
唬人沒這樣傻

拿草莓獸去換林和阿西也拿不到冠軍
還要在被綁兩年

一年後就解脫
2014年就有的是錢可以重新招兵買馬

引用:

作者strong

我覺得有了去年的 Linsanity紐約經驗，

到湖人應該更能駕輕就熟!! :D

不諱言，比較關注NBA我是由Lin開始的。觀察了很久，我個人覺得Lin的問題在於不知道如何跟巨星配合。(唯一的例外可能是拳王，也許他比較沒有架子)

個人猜想這個問題可能是初期輾轉流浪各隊造成的心理自卑感，見到巨星就下意識地自覺自己矮一截。

看他Linsanity時期，切傳投都很有信心極少猶豫，跟現在簡直是判若兩人。但瓜瓜回歸後該如何調配球權比例，就頓時失去自信了。

有一則傳聞，說交易來鬍子之前，他還跑去問教練，該不該多作點球給小馬丁？看了真叫人啞然失笑。本季有很多失誤都發生在球過半場球給鬍子－實在太明顯了－當然我不認為這是鬍子的錯，但這實在是Lin必須學習改進的地方。沒有克服這一點心障之前，他無法更上層樓。能不能逐漸作到，能配合巨星又不喪失自己的優點，就慢慢再觀察吧……

看來他受鬍子影響不少

這種怪頭還是要看人剃 :laugh:

林書豪新髮型驚人　「哈登式」怪頭現身
http://tw.news.yahoo.com/nba-%E6%9E...-070900435.html